It is apparent that Ivo is giving the forecasters fits. They kept moving his path north until landfall was projected at Magdelena Bay but now they have moved landfall south again, possibly within 100 miles of Todos Santos. Good news is that he is not strengthening but rather weakening. Here’s the latest track from NOAA:

And more from Tropical Storm Risk:

And NASA’s Jet Propulsion Lab:

And from our friends at Weather Underground:
